Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 399.459740 452.915729 511.978369 582.264574 663.870853 755.922075 868.019694
2026-01-25 312.815101 381.558371 464.181851 571.549282 708.463985 878.661871 1108.501581
2026-02-01 274.754658 352.048901 450.426742 586.318288 771.502872 1018.457931 1378.487630
2026-02-08 242.118324 322.412927 429.327006 584.399450 807.417637 1122.555692 1612.492725
2026-02-15 215.878515 296.875695 408.895932 578.266780 833.416334 1212.651378 1836.832225
2026-02-22 197.833968 280.012313 397.612387 582.263043 872.548008 1324.773867 2110.230871
2026-03-01 179.417389 260.304270 379.514598 572.949539 888.658519 1401.475347 2336.387803
2026-03-08 165.128116 245.088845 366.185050 568.794117 911.339003 1490.267311 2596.035669
2026-03-15 149.019468 225.474221 343.963743 547.469561 902.133112 1522.570177 2757.142270
2026-03-22 143.283943 221.491234 345.865517 565.871296 962.733210 1684.962967 3191.902978
2026-03-29 138.920411 219.216689 350.134669 588.454728 1033.131823 1874.659129 3716.025259
2026-04-05 131.146614 210.596237 342.908951 589.760091 1063.991606 1992.548738 4111.268863
2026-04-12 121.490923 198.218304 328.495366 577.099485 1067.766076 2059.515433 4413.538420
2026-04-19 112.997072 187.194441 315.544656 565.883350 1073.136571 2130.884461 4741.766283
2026-04-26 109.182476 184.009942 316.203455 580.523279 1132.466609 2325.564285 5408.068490
2026-05-03 103.379895 176.800559 308.863589 578.623754 1156.794699 2446.454244 5915.378381
2026-05-10 97.551957 169.097015 299.941012 572.560793 1171.243027 2546.673407 6390.566881
2026-05-17 93.476878 164.315404 296.125494 576.511735 1208.211321 2705.648897 7065.513980
2026-05-24 88.172768 156.844942 286.519430 567.303761 1213.997847 2789.171942 7542.898738
2026-05-31 83.869365 150.984708 279.615502 563.195342 1231.157652 2904.068564 8143.739053
2026-06-07 78.071561 141.863690 265.552091 542.111182 1205.168264 2902.867249 8380.445926
2026-06-14 76.753211 141.416316 268.982052 560.305550 1277.631766 3176.817317 9589.484103
2026-06-21 75.863864 141.746458 274.012322 582.633125 1363.567738 3503.833488 11081.730544